Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.358851 0.425182 0.499176 0.587666 0.690442 0.805866 0.945136
2025-02-02 0.288092 0.382099 0.497991 0.650594 0.845382 1.084748 1.400124
2025-02-09 0.236098 0.340464 0.478944 0.674481 0.941519 1.291197 1.781079
2025-02-16 0.191127 0.296035 0.444190 0.666024 0.986463 1.428570 2.079710
2025-02-23 0.154262 0.254888 0.405187 0.642297 1.002190 1.521952 2.321441
2025-03-02 0.124776 0.218952 0.367103 0.612303 1.001635 1.587610 2.524767
2025-03-09 0.112062 0.207201 0.363730 0.633686 1.079112 1.773355 2.920691
2025-03-16 0.093752 0.182770 0.335995 0.611358 1.083387 1.844921 3.144679
2025-03-23 0.084549 0.172770 0.330808 0.625289 1.147198 2.014816 3.537441
2025-03-30 0.076331 0.163180 0.324808 0.636509 1.206603 2.181372 3.937173
2025-04-06 0.067062 0.150003 0.310349 0.630307 1.233970 2.295068 4.255676
2025-04-13 0.059428 0.138856 0.298123 0.626446 1.264434 2.415535 4.594037
2025-04-20 0.055266 0.134696 0.299668 0.650524 1.351730 2.648622 5.159256
2025-04-27 0.055660 0.140661 0.322592 0.719921 1.533138 3.068958 6.099289
2025-05-04 0.052005 0.136793 0.324379 0.746155 1.632133 3.343815 6.791561
2025-05-11 0.045945 0.126192 0.310161 0.736872 1.658345 3.481972 7.236121
2025-05-18 0.039520 0.113510 0.289468 0.710822 1.646745 3.544801 7.539273
2025-05-25 0.033566 0.100890 0.267042 0.677881 1.616564 3.567145 7.763005
2025-06-01 0.031662 0.098699 0.269113 0.701365 1.711268 3.850504 8.531978
2025-06-08 0.027397 0.089175 0.251803 0.676843 1.696172 3.904212 8.833771
2025-06-15 0.025591 0.086353 0.251011 0.692143 1.773047 4.157805 9.569574
2025-06-22 0.023810 0.083278 0.249131 0.704466 1.844021 4.403823 10.306406
2025-06-29 0.021416 0.077853 0.240187 0.697655 1.868608 4.549603 10.837016